La Niña Returns?

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, strengthening model outlooks and recent cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean has raised the chance of La Niña forming in 2021. Consequently, the Bureau has lifted its ENSO Outlook status to La Niña WATCH, meaning around a 50% chance of La

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Wet Warm Spring Likely

Spring in Australia may see more rain than usual in the east and a dry outlook for parts of the west, Bureau of Meteorology climatologists say. According to the latest seasonal outlook issued today by the Bureau, this spring is likely to bring above average rainfall for people living in

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Spring Rainfall Still Likely

Negative Indian Ocean Dipole likely to continue into spring. The negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event is likely to continue into southern hemisphere spring. A negative IOD increases the chances of above average winter–spring rainfall for much of southern and eastern Australia. Climate change continues to influence Australian and global

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La Niña Wanes and Yet It Rains

La Niña weakens, but influence likely to continue into autumn. The 2020–21 La Niña has passed its peak and is now weakening. Climate model outlooks indicate the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) will return to neutral (neither La Niña nor El Niño) during autumn. While La Niña’s influence on Australian rainfall

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La Niña Peaks But Effects Continue

The 2020–21 La Niña is likely to have peaked with respect to atmospheric and oceanic patterns in the tropical Pacific. However impacts associated with La Niña, such as above average rainfall in eastern and northern Australia, are expected to persist into early autumn, with climate outlooks indicating above average rainfall

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Yes, Still Wet

La Niña has likely reached its peak, but will affect remaining summer. The 2020–21 La Niña is likely to have peaked in terms of sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean. However, effects associated with La Niña, such as above-average rainfall, are expected to persist across eastern and northern Australia

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Warmer and Wetter ~ Not a Great Mix

La Niña continues; cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean returns. La Niña continues in the tropical Pacific. International climate models suggest it is likely to continue to at least February 2021. Wetter than average conditions likely for much of Australia Days likely to be warmer than average near the coasts and in the southeast,

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Yes It’s Getting Hotter

State of the Climate 2020 shows continued warming and increase in extreme weather events. Continued warming of Australia’s climate, an increase in extreme fire weather and length of the fire season, declining rainfall in the southeast and southwest of the continent, and rising sea levels are some of the key

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